Sunday, October 30, 2011

Herman Cain... still on top?


I think we are all surprised by the Iowa poll results released on Saturday. Herman Cain is still in the lead! 

Although essentially in a tie with Mitt Romney, Herman Cain came out on top leading the Iowa poll with 23% support from republicans. Most people, namely me, thought that Herman Cain would fade in and out of the spotlight within one or two weeks just like most of the other candidates. 

Rick Perry, former governor of Texas, was the frontrunner in mid-September leading the race with 30% of support after his second debate in the run for President of the United States 2012. With a few shaky debates and his unpopular immigration views there is no wonder his status as front runner did not last long. Perry was front runner for a little over two weeks during September with his popularity decreasing with every day. My opinion, he was only frontrunner because he was the new nominee, not because of his abilities, and this obviously showed with the decrease in his support. In the recent poll from Iowa, Perry only received 7% of the votes tying with Newt Gingrich. Perry even came out behind Michele Bachmann who received 8% of the votes. 

Coming out behind Bachmann must have been a blow for Perry. Even Tea Party supporters as calling her campain a joke, and she a Tea Party Republican! Michele Bachmann has actually become so unpopular with the one group of Tea Party activists, they want her to resign her campaign.  Michele Bachmann at one (very short lived) time was frontrunner as well. In the Iowa poll at the end of August she received 22% of the popular vote while Romney received 23%. They essentially were tied making her the front runner, receiving a lot of the media attention. Her popularity, however, dropped so much to where she was dead last in the Florida straw poll, only a month after being at the top. 

I expected Herman Cain’s popularity to decline just as did the other nominees. About a month later and he is still on top. Herman Cain has never held office, does not always use proper grammar, and can never seem to explain his messages properly to a point of understanding. How is he still on top? Well looking at the other nominees there aren’t very many other viable options. 

Mitt Romney to me seems the most capable and most appropriate option out of the republican nominees but for some reason just can’t catch a break. His religion seems to be a big issue with a lot of voters and he is always getting bashed in debates by Perry. Perry and Romney seem to always fight back and forth dominating the debates but Romney still always seems to be over shadowed by another one of the candidates. Michele Bachmann was a fresh female Tea Party republican, Perry was the new guy and Herman Cain has his 999 plan. Each one of the previous frontrunners had a reason for being front runner and Romney is just there, but consistent. He always seems to come out in the top three for the polls. This poll he essentially tied with Cain, and in the very beginning of the debates he basically tied with Bachmann. Although not always getting the spot light he still manages to stay consistent and in the end will that be enough? Who knows?

But at this moment Cain continues to stay frontrunner gaining a lot of the media coverage. Will the same thing happen to Cain that happened to Bachmann? Well they did both tie with Romney with almost the exact same statistics. Bachmann received 22% of the vote in the Iowa straw poll whereas Romney received 23% and in the Iowa poll conducted Saturday Romney received 22% and Cain received 23%. Will Cain be able to prevent what happened to Bachmann from happening to himself? Well it has been a month and he is still on top so we will just have to wait and see.

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